Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.2% | 29.8% | -4.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 30 | 10-19 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 18 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Janel McCarville | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 38 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers * | 18 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Carolyn Swords * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Brittany Boyd-Jones | 24 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Swin Cash | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter