Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Stars | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +10.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +19 (83-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jefferson | 29 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| D. Hamby | 28 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Currie | 26 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| K. Alexander | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Colson | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| H. Peters | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Ndour-Fall | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 37 | 11-16 | 4-8 | 7-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 27 | - |
| A. Harden | 30 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Xargay | 28 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Harding | 25 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| B. Griner | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| C. Dupree | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Bass | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Bone | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Harrison | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter