Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Stars | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +10.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +15 (90-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McBride | 28 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -3 | - |
| M. Currie | 24 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 6-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Alexander | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| H. Peters | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Hamby | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Colson | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Ndour-Fall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| F. Eldebrink | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 13-13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 15 | - |
| P. Taylor | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| B. Griner | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Bass | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| I. Harrison | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Williams | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Harden | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Quinn | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Fields | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter