Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Wheeler | 35 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 33 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| M. Coleman | 33 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -3 | - |
| T. Catchings | 31 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| E. Larkins | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | - |
| D. Peters | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Kizer | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Moseley | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 35 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 34 | 8-18 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 31 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Cortijo | 9 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Simmons | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter