🐻⬇️🏀

Indiana Fever 76
@
Atlanta Dream 85
2016-05-29

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 43.1% 56.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% - ✓
Margin 50.1% 49.9% -0.0 ✗ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% - ✗

Actual: Atlanta Dream +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Wheeler 35 8-15 1-2 1-1 3 7 0 0 5 18 8 -
T. Mitchell 33 4-15 1-6 5-6 4 1 2 0 2 14 4 -
M. Coleman 33 3-12 1-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 7 -3 -
T. Catchings 31 6-13 2-4 2-3 7 4 0 0 1 16 13 -
E. Larkins 26 2-3 0-0 2-2 8 4 2 1 3 6 15 -
D. Peters 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 2 7 -
L. Kizer 10 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 6 5 -
N. Achonwa 10 3-6 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 0 0 7 9 -
B. Moseley 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lyttle 35 4-12 1-2 3-4 6 2 2 2 1 12 11 -
A. McCoughtry 34 8-18 1-1 5-5 6 1 1 0 5 22 7 -
E. Williams 33 3-7 0-0 2-4 7 1 1 4 2 8 12 -
L. Clarendon 31 5-9 1-2 6-7 5 2 2 0 2 17 15 -
T. Hayes 27 4-6 0-1 5-7 4 6 1 0 0 13 18 -
B. Holmes 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
C. Cortijo 9 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 -
R. Gray 7 1-2 0-0 0-3 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Hollivay 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
M. Ajavon 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Simmons 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter