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2016-07-15

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% - โœ“
Margin 31.1% 68.9% +4.4 โœ“ (24.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +29 (80-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Emma Meesseman 26 7-11 2-2 0-0 10 2 1 0 1 16 17 -
Natasha Cloud 26 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 20 0-3 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 2 0 5 -
Kahleah Copper 20 4-13 2-4 2-2 5 1 1 1 1 12 6 -
S. Dolson 19 4-12 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 8 -1 -
T. Hill 19 1-6 0-1 1-3 1 5 0 0 1 3 2 -
Kia Vaughn 18 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
I. Latta 17 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 3 2 -
Tianna Hawkins 14 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -
B. Hartley 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 3 1 -
J. Weisner 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
A. Malott 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart 35 4-10 1-3 1-1 7 8 2 2 0 10 19 -
Jewell Loyd 32 11-17 2-3 2-2 2 3 2 0 2 26 14 -
S. Bird 28 5-9 1-3 1-3 4 7 1 0 2 12 13 -
C. Langhorne 25 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 8 10 -
Alysha Clark 23 3-5 1-2 1-1 6 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
K. Mosqueda-Lewis 18 4-11 4-9 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 12 8 -
N. Quinn 17 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Thomas 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
J. O'Hea 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Bishop 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Tokashiki 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter