Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 29 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 25 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 21 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Cortijo | 15 | 8-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Gatling | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kizer | 34 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| E. Larkins | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Briann January | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 29 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| T. Catchings | 28 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Coleman | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Johnson | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter