Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +8 (89-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| P. Taylor | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| D. Bonner | 26 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| C. Dupree | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 23 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| M. Bass | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| I. Harrison | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Quinn | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 37 | 6-20 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| R. Brunson | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| S. Fowles | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| J. Perkins | 26 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| L. Whalen | 24 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 22 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. Augustus | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| N. Howard | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. McCarville | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter