Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.5% | 25.5% | -5.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 25 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 33 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Beard | 29 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Candace Parker | 28 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| E. Carson | 18 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 17 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| E. Belyakova | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Wauters | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Dubljevic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bentley | 32 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 31 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| A. Thomas | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Bone | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Tuck | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. Little | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 12 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Faris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter