Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✗ (25.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -22 (64-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thomas | 37 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| A. Bentley | 28 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Thomas | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| C. Little | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Tuck | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Williams | 12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 10 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Jones | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Faris | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. January | 28 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| L. Kizer | 24 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. Johnson | 23 | 2-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| T. Catchings | 20 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 18 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. Coleman | 17 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Peters | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter