๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2016-06-05

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% - โœ—
Margin 41.6% 58.4% +1.9 โœ— (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 49.1% 50.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.6% 55.4% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (79-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Emma Meesseman 29 6-13 1-1 2-2 7 2 0 1 0 15 12 -
T. Hill 28 4-9 3-6 6-6 1 3 0 0 3 17 9 -
I. Latta 28 4-11 3-7 1-1 4 3 1 0 2 12 7 -
S. Dolson 23 2-6 0-0 4-4 12 3 0 3 0 8 20 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 20 1-7 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 3 0 -
A. Malott 19 3-4 1-2 3-3 4 1 1 1 1 10 12 -
Kia Vaughn 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
Natasha Cloud 13 1-4 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 3 4 -
B. Hartley 12 1-9 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 -4 -
Tianna Hawkins 11 3-6 0-1 4-5 4 0 0 0 0 10 8 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Angel McCoughtry 37 8-16 2-5 10-13 4 2 2 2 4 28 18 -
Elizabeth Williams 37 8-12 0-0 5-6 6 2 0 2 0 21 19 -
S. Lyttle 33 3-6 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 1 0 8 15 -
Tiffany Hayes 26 0-9 0-4 1-2 2 4 0 0 0 1 -2 -
L. Clarendon 25 3-10 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 7 2 -
C. Cortijo 15 1-2 1-2 4-4 2 5 0 1 0 7 13 -
M. Ajavon 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
Bria Holmes 7 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
M. Simmons 5 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -1 -
C. Burdick 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Hollivay 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter