Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +24 (86-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 28 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Rachel Hollivay | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Meighan Simmons | 13 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Carla Cortijo | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Markeisha Gatling | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 24 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers * | 24 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Carolyn Swords * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 19 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Brittany Boyd-Jones | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 17 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Adut Bulgak | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter