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2016-05-24

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 45.4% 54.6% -
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -

Actual: New York Liberty -6 (79-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams 39 5-10 0-0 6-10 8 2 1 4 2 16 19 -
T. Hayes 39 7-13 3-7 10-10 11 3 2 2 6 27 26 -
S. Lyttle 38 1-11 1-2 0-0 14 2 3 3 0 3 14 -
A. McCoughtry 29 5-12 0-4 5-6 5 0 2 0 1 15 9 -
C. Cortijo 24 3-9 1-4 5-6 4 1 2 0 3 12 7 -
L. Clarendon 22 1-4 0-1 3-4 6 3 0 0 3 5 7 -
B. Holmes 14 1-5 0-1 5-6 1 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
R. Hollivay 7 0-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 0 0 -
M. Simmons 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -
C. Burdick 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
R. Gray 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Ajavon 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Charles 42 13-24 1-1 2-6 10 6 7 2 2 29 28 -
S. Rodgers 39 4-14 0-5 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 10 1 -
T. Wright 25 4-14 0-2 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 8 1 -
K. Stokes 22 1-2 0-0 3-4 7 2 2 2 2 5 14 -
C. Swords 21 3-6 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 0 1 7 12 -
L. Harding 20 3-9 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 0 -
B. Boyd-Jones 16 1-9 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 2 -7 -
S. Zellous 16 2-6 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 6 2 -
S. Cash 14 1-3 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 1 0 6 7 -
S. Schimmel 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Zahui B. 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -

* = starter