Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -11 (77-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Coleman | 29 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 5 | - |
| E. Larkins | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| S. Johnson | 26 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 24 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| B. January | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Catchings | 24 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Peters | 16 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 29 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| J. Thomas | 27 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| C. Little | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| K. Bone | 23 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| K. Faris | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Banham | 18 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Jones | 17 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Tuck | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Bentley | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter