Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -14 (65-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 35 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 22 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| C. Dupree | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Bonner | 25 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| P. Taylor | 22 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| L. Harding | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Xargay | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bass | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Bone | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Harden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Harrison | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Catchings | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. January | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 22 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Johnson | 21 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| L. Kizer | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| M. Coleman | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Peters | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter