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2016-07-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% - โœ—
Margin 33.8% 66.2% +3.7 โœ— (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm -11 (82-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Larkins 33 4-5 0-0 3-4 7 3 0 0 2 11 14 -
Briann January 28 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 7 1 0 2 5 11 -
S. Johnson 27 6-10 5-8 1-1 4 4 1 0 2 18 15 -
L. Kizer 24 5-8 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 1 12 9 -
T. Catchings 24 5-10 3-4 2-2 3 1 4 1 0 15 14 -
E. Wheeler 23 4-9 1-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 9 6 -
Tiffany Mitchell 21 4-8 1-4 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 11 4 -
D. Peters 20 6-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 12 10 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart 37 11-15 4-5 6-9 11 5 0 1 4 32 30 -
C. Langhorne 30 1-2 0-0 4-5 5 2 0 0 2 6 9 -
S. Bird 30 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 7 1 0 2 5 8 -
Alysha Clark 28 4-10 3-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 11 3 -
Jewell Loyd 27 4-12 0-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 10 2 -
K. Mosqueda-Lewis 20 3-8 1-4 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 8 0 -
N. Quinn 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 -
R. Tokashiki 12 3-6 0-0 4-5 1 0 0 0 1 10 4 -

* = starter