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2016-08-30

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Stars Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 12.3% 87.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 โœ“ (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“

Actual: Connecticut Sun +27 (89-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Stars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Astou Ndour-Fall 30 5-8 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 12 10 -
Moriah Jefferson 28 4-13 1-2 1-1 3 3 3 2 2 10 6 -
J. Gwathmey 27 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 5 6 -
Sydney Colson 25 2-7 0-2 0-1 3 5 0 0 4 4 1 -
H. Peters 24 3-9 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 8 0 -
J. Appel-Marinelli 23 2-9 0-0 1-1 4 1 2 0 3 5 0 -
V. Baugh 22 3-4 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
M. Currie 21 2-5 1-1 5-6 2 2 2 0 5 10 6 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chiney Ogwumike 35 6-10 0-0 4-5 6 3 0 3 1 16 17 -
A. Thomas 29 6-10 0-0 4-5 7 1 1 1 5 16 11 -
Jasmine Thomas 29 5-9 2-2 2-2 6 6 4 0 2 14 19 -
A. Bentley 24 8-12 3-4 2-2 1 0 2 0 3 21 9 -
C. Little 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 7 1 0 1 0 7 -
S. Stricklen 17 3-11 3-9 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 9 4 -
C. Williams 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 2 4 -
K. Faris 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
Jazmine Jones 12 4-7 0-1 1-2 6 1 0 2 1 9 10 -

* = starter