Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.7% | 25.3% | -11.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -13 (61-74). Ratings: 2016 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 34 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 21 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 22 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ana Dabovic | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jelena Dubljevic | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Whitney Knight | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ann Wauters | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moriah Jefferson * | 31 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Haley Peters | 16 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Frida Eldebrink | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Astou Ndour-Fall | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jazmon Gwathmey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter