Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -8 (76-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hill | 39 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| B. Hartley | 39 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. Dolson | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Malott | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas | 40 | 5-19 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| A. Bentley | 36 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Bone | 34 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A. Thomas | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Little | 21 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Tuck | 10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Faris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter