Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.4% | 35.6% | -3.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker | 36 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 33 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 30 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| E. Carson | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Beard | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Belyakova | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Wauters | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 30 | 9-17 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 30 | 3-16 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -5 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 28 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| P. Taylor | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| M. Xargay | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Bone | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Bass | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Harding | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter