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2016-08-28

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 60.1% 39.9% -
Bradley-Terry 71.8% 28.2% -
Margin 64.4% 35.6% -3.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Parker 36 10-18 2-4 3-3 13 7 3 1 6 25 25 -
N. Ogwumike 33 6-10 1-1 2-4 9 2 1 0 3 15 14 -
K. Toliver 30 3-9 1-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 7 1 -
E. Carson 26 2-7 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 4 0 -
A. Beard 26 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 1 3 8 7 -
J. Lavender 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 1 4 4 -
E. Belyakova 14 0-2 0-1 1-4 3 1 1 1 0 1 5 -
C. Gray 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Dabovic 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
A. Wauters 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Taurasi 30 9-17 4-10 4-4 3 2 1 0 3 26 12 -
D. Bonner 30 3-16 0-7 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 7 -5 -
C. Dupree 28 4-12 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 1 2 9 5 -
P. Taylor 24 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 5 0 1 1 3 9 -
M. Xargay 22 2-4 1-3 2-4 1 2 3 0 1 7 8 -
B. Griner 21 4-7 0-0 1-3 4 0 1 1 2 9 6 -
K. Bone 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 2 5 -
M. Bass 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 0 1 -
S. Petrovic 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
L. Harding 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
I. Harrison 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter