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2016-09-09

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 57.5% 42.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% - โœ“
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 โœ“ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 52.3% 47.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +7 (95-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 38 8-18 0-4 6-8 3 1 4 0 3 22 9 -
Courtney Vandersloot 33 5-12 1-6 4-4 5 4 4 0 3 15 13 -
J. Breland 32 3-7 0-0 7-8 9 2 1 0 1 13 17 -
I. McGee-Stafford 22 2-6 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -
J. Faulkner 21 5-7 2-4 2-4 0 1 1 0 2 14 7 -
Allie Quigley 18 1-6 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
E. de Souza 15 3-6 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 2 1 7 7 -
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus 13 3-6 0-0 1-1 5 1 2 0 0 7 9 -
C. dos Santos 9 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coleman 34 5-12 2-7 2-2 4 4 1 1 1 14 11 -
Briann January 31 5-7 2-3 8-9 3 6 2 0 2 20 22 -
E. Wheeler 29 4-9 3-6 5-10 5 4 1 0 4 16 13 -
E. Larkins 25 5-6 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 2 12 12 -
L. Kizer 24 5-8 0-0 4-5 2 0 1 1 1 14 9 -
T. Catchings 21 3-8 0-4 0-2 8 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
S. Johnson 16 2-6 1-3 4-4 4 1 0 0 3 9 5 -
N. Achonwa 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Tiffany Mitchell 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
D. Peters 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter