Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -1.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +4 (91-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 15 | - |
| D. Bonner | 35 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| C. Dupree | 32 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| P. Taylor | 24 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| L. Harding | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Xargay | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Bass | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Bone | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Clarendon | 40 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Holmes | 38 | 9-15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| E. Williams | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 33 | 12-24 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 13 | - |
| T. Hayes | 20 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Gatling | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter