Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +7 (88-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Coleman | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| E. Larkins | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. January | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| S. Johnson | 28 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 27 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | - |
| T. Catchings | 25 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| L. Kizer | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Peters | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Toliver | 36 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 32 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| A. Beard | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| C. Parker | 30 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| E. Carson | 24 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Lavender | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Belyakova | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Gruda | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter