Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✓ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +22 (92-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 32 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 25 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| B. Griner | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Dupree | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| P. Taylor | 21 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Xargay | 20 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| M. Bass | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. Harrison | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Harding | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Bone | 7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| A. Harden | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rodgers | 35 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| T. Charles | 33 | 9-23 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| C. Swords | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 25 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| S. Zellous | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| R. Allen | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Zahui B. | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Cash | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Prince | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter