Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.8% | 32.2% | -4.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -7 (72-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker | 38 | 6-19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 37 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 29 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 33 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Beard | 31 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Belyakova | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| E. Carson | 19 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Wauters | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Dubljevic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rodgers | 39 | 5-19 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Tina Charles | 38 | 8-23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| L. Harding | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Wright | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C. Swords | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Zellous | 18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter