Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -4 (63-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 36 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 35 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 32 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Cortijo | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Simmons | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas | 35 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| A. Thomas | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| A. Bentley | 29 | 4-14 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| C. Little | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Tuck | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Williams | 13 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Faris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter