Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +9 (94-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Clarendon | 31 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | - |
| T. Hayes | 31 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 11 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 29 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 26 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| B. Holmes | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Williams | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Simmons | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Gray | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 11 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| C. Burdick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Johnson | 30 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| T. Catchings | 27 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Coleman | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Peters | 21 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| B. Moseley | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Kizer | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Lucas | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Larkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter