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2016-05-20

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 39.8% 60.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -

Actual: Indiana Fever +9 (94-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Clarendon 31 7-8 1-1 4-5 6 2 1 0 5 19 15 -
T. Hayes 31 6-8 2-3 5-8 3 0 2 0 5 19 11 -
A. McCoughtry 29 7-16 0-2 1-2 8 2 2 1 4 15 8 -
S. Lyttle 26 0-5 0-1 1-2 7 1 3 1 1 1 7 -
B. Holmes 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 2 -
E. Williams 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
M. Simmons 13 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -
R. Hollivay 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Gray 11 3-5 0-0 5-6 7 0 1 0 1 11 13 -
M. Ajavon 11 4-10 0-1 4-4 1 1 0 1 1 12 4 -
C. Burdick 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Johnson 30 4-10 0-2 4-5 7 3 3 1 3 12 13 -
T. Catchings 27 4-10 1-1 5-6 5 0 3 0 3 14 9 -
M. Coleman 27 4-10 2-5 2-5 1 2 1 0 3 12 3 -
T. Mitchell 22 4-7 0-0 4-4 1 2 4 0 0 12 12 -
E. Wheeler 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 2 3 -
D. Peters 21 5-9 1-2 1-4 3 1 1 1 1 12 8 -
N. Achonwa 15 3-4 0-0 4-5 2 1 2 0 1 10 10 -
B. Moseley 14 1-4 0-0 0-1 0 6 0 0 1 2 3 -
L. Kizer 13 4-6 0-0 4-5 4 1 1 0 2 12 10 -
M. Lucas 7 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
E. Larkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter