Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✗ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -18 (60-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 28 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. January | 26 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| T. Catchings | 23 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| S. Johnson | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| D. Peters | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Coleman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 28 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 24 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | - |
| M. Xargay | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Griner | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Bone | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| L. Harding | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Dupree | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Bass | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Harrison | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Harden | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter