Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (95-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 38 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 10-12 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 37 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 33 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| G. Johnson | 30 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| C. Paris | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 24 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 17 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| E. Phillips | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Hooper | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Kiesel | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 43 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 43 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 41 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 37 | 11-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 36 | 7-20 | 0-1 | 13-14 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 11 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Cortijo | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter