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2016-07-08

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% -
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% -
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.6 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (95-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Christmas-Kelly 38 4-13 0-4 10-12 15 4 1 0 1 18 24 -
O. Sims 37 2-11 0-3 7-7 0 5 1 0 2 11 4 -
Diggins-Smith 33 6-17 0-2 3-3 3 4 1 0 3 15 3 -
G. Johnson 30 7-12 1-1 1-1 15 2 0 0 1 16 20 -
C. Paris 30 6-7 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 3 1 13 18 -
T. Plaisance 24 2-9 0-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 4 -2 -
A. Powers 17 2-7 2-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 8 0 -
E. Phillips 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Hooper 6 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
B. Kiesel 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams 43 4-16 0-0 2-4 7 1 1 6 3 10 6 -
S. Lyttle 43 5-10 0-0 0-0 14 1 1 3 0 10 19 -
L. Clarendon 41 3-7 1-1 5-6 5 4 2 0 0 12 16 -
T. Hayes 37 11-17 3-6 2-2 1 6 0 1 2 27 16 -
A. McCoughtry 36 7-20 0-1 13-14 10 9 1 0 1 27 26 -
B. Holmes 11 3-6 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 7 2 -
M. Ajavon 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Gray 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Cortijo 4 1-2 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter