Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (97-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 36 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 9-18 | 5-11 | 9-11 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 24 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| C. Dupree | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| P. Taylor | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Harrison | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Bass | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Williams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| N. Fields | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| N. Quinn | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Wheeler | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| M. Coleman | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| S. Johnson | 31 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| E. Larkins | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| T. Catchings | 22 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Peters | 18 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 18 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| L. Kizer | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Lucas | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter