Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -6 (77-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| E. Williams | 35 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 33 | 10-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| T. Hayes | 29 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Cortijo | 16 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| B. Holmes | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Burdick | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thomas | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Thomas | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Bentley | 25 | 7-18 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | - |
| C. Little | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Tuck | 15 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Bone | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Banham | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Faris | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Jones | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter