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2016-08-28

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 49.5% 50.5% -
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% -
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.9 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +14 (87-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Thomas 30 3-10 0-4 3-4 3 4 0 1 0 9 7 -
C. Little 29 4-7 0-0 0-1 3 3 1 1 1 8 8 -
A. Thomas 29 0-7 0-0 3-4 2 2 1 0 5 3 -4 -
C. Ogwumike 24 9-13 0-0 6-7 6 0 3 0 1 24 19 -
C. Williams 22 6-14 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 13 8 -
A. Bentley 20 2-7 1-3 0-2 2 2 1 0 4 5 -1 -
J. Jones 16 0-2 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
S. Stricklen 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
M. Tuck 11 1-3 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
K. Faris 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 3 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams 39 5-10 0-0 6-8 9 1 0 2 0 16 18 -
T. Hayes 34 4-8 0-2 9-12 7 1 3 0 5 17 15 -
L. Clarendon 32 5-8 3-3 6-6 6 4 1 0 3 19 19 -
B. Holmes 31 2-8 0-3 1-1 7 3 0 1 2 5 6 -
A. McCoughtry 30 8-21 2-3 1-1 3 4 3 1 1 19 8 -
M. Ajavon 13 0-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
R. Gray 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 2 -
R. Hollivay 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 -
M. Simmons 4 1-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -

* = starter