Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 35 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Dupree | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 7-17 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| L. Harding | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Bone | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| A. Harden | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Bass | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnson | 39 | 10-20 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 26 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| O. Sims | 30 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| C. Paris | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Powers | 20 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Phillips | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Kiesel | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter