Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +26 (98-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 28 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 8-11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| P. Pierson | 27 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| O. Sims | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Johnson | 22 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 22 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Powers | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Paris | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Bias | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| E. Phillips | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Hamblin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hooper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 28 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Bonner | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| B. Griner | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| P. Taylor | 22 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| M. Xargay | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Harden | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Harrison | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Harding | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Bone | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 12 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
* = starter