Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -1.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -8 (87-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 36 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| C. Dupree | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 22 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 27 | 31 | - |
| L. Harding | 24 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Bass | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Bone | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Harden | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 34 | 10-22 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | - |
| T. Hayes | 34 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 17 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E. Williams | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 30 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| R. Gray | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Cortijo | 10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Holmes | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Gatling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter