Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 33 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Thomas | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| A. Bentley | 30 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | - |
| J. Thomas | 25 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Jones | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Banham | 15 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Williams | 10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Tuck | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 38 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| G. Johnson | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| O. Sims | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 26 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| C. Paris | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Powers | 20 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| E. Phillips | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Hooper | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter