Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +19 (95-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| B. Griner | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| C. Dupree | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| P. Taylor | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 22 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Bass | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Fields | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| I. Harrison | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Quinn | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harden | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 32 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| S. Augustus | 30 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| S. Fowles | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| R. Brunson | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| L. Whalen | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. McCarville | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Perkins | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Howard | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Graves | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Hampton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter