Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -11 (76-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 32 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 31 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| S. Zellous | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Harding | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| T. Wright | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Swords | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 15 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Alston | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hill | 33 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 29 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Dolson | 26 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. Hartley | 25 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Malott | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter