Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -11 (88-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 33 | 11-22 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 20 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 33 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| S. Zellous | 27 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | - |
| T. Wright | 25 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Cash | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Swords | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner | 38 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 27 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| L. Harding | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| B. Griner | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Bass | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Harden | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Bone | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
* = starter