Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -2 (85-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moriah Jefferson * | 37 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 35 | 6-21 | 0-6 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Haley Peters | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erlana Larkins * | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Briann January * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Erica Wheeler * | 17 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 20 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Natalie Achonwa | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter