Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.3% | 14.7% | -9.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -8 (79-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver | 37 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 35 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 27 | - |
| Candace Parker | 33 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Beard | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 24 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| E. Carson | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Belyakova | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Dubljevic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Gruda | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odyssey Sims | 36 | 10-21 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 8 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 31 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| G. Johnson | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 23 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| P. Pierson | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Paris | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Phillips | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Bias | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hooper | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter