Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +13 (87-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Griner | 33 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 22 | - |
| C. Dupree | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| P. Taylor | 28 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -3 | - |
| L. Harding | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Xargay | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Bass | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Bone | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Harrison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thomas | 34 | 7-19 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| A. Thomas | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Little | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 28 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| A. Bentley | 28 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| J. Jones | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Williams | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Faris | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter