Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.1% | 34.9% | -6.1 | ✓ (22.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.4% | 31.6% | -4.3 | ✓ (24.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -29 (61-90). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevon Bluiett * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Remy Abell * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Myles Davis * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Edmond Sumner * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jalen Reynolds * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| J.P. Macura | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| James Farr | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Larry Austin Jr. | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sean O'Mara | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Makinde London | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kaiser Gates | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tim Stainbrook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Bergen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ashanti Burgess | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Coker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoochie Smith * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Charles Cooke * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Steve McElvene * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sam Miller | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| John Crosby | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Wehrli | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter