Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Paris Lee * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| MiKyle McIntosh * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Deontae Hawkins * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tony Wills * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Roland Griffin | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Quintin Brewer | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Justin McCloud | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daouda N'Diaye | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Keyshawn Evans | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Parrish * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Vladimir Brodziansky * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| M. Trent-Street * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Karviar Shepherd * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Chauncey Collins * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Michael Williams | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Devonta Abron | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| JD Miller | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Lyrik Shreiner | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dalton Dry | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter