Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +17 (69-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 34 | 5-16 | 4-4 | 4-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Briann January * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | -4 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maggie Lucas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 37 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 35 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Anna Cruz | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter