Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Carpenter * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Johnathan Bell * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Liam Thomas * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | - |
| Adam Ward * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Schane Rillieux * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Tre O'Neal | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ja'Dante' Frye | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Quinton Thomas | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Caudill | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Luka Kamber | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Howard * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 28 | - |
| Derreck Brooks * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Justin Foreman * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mathieu Kamba * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jake Zuilhof * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Jeff Lowery | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Albert Christensson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Tanner Schmit | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Boo Milligan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter