Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.8 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +1 (59-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ervin * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 39 | - |
| Mark Gray * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chase Cormier * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Michael Bethea * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Deonte Hearns | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Nigel Ribeiro | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Carlton Lowe | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Valerio Altheimer | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Arnold Richmond | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack Ocwieja | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance LeFlore * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Jamel Waters * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Chidozie Omile * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Robert Ojeah * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Torloft Thomas | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Corvon Butler | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Steve Rogers | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Glenn Hollaway | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Nicholas Barnes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mikel Tyson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter