Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.1% | 36.9% | -5.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.8% | 33.2% | -3.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +5 (75-70). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Waters * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Torloft Thomas * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tony Armstrong * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Corvon Butler * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Steve Rogers | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chidozie Omile | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mikel Tyson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nicholas Barnes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Whiting * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Jovaughn Love * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Marcus Wallace * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Marquis Cunningham * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| David Tillman * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles Jackson | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Devin Berry | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Austin Cox | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Ghiavonni Robinson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Chauncy Parker | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J'Breun Sprinkle | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Larry Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter